Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.235495 0.265846 0.298030 0.334640 0.375066 0.418277 0.467894
2025-08-10 0.199793 0.241624 0.288580 0.344972 0.410627 0.484412 0.573359
2025-08-17 0.168078 0.215988 0.272505 0.343623 0.430211 0.531668 0.658954
2025-08-24 0.144509 0.196157 0.259851 0.343371 0.449094 0.577494 0.744137
2025-08-31 0.125699 0.179456 0.248499 0.342460 0.465603 0.619962 0.826311
2025-09-07 0.113418 0.169481 0.244160 0.349197 0.491118 0.673968 0.924714
2025-09-14 0.101052 0.157772 0.236000 0.349513 0.507321 0.715885 1.008680
2025-09-21 0.090713 0.147642 0.228773 0.349968 0.522954 0.756975 1.092592
2025-09-28 0.081954 0.138784 0.222331 0.350591 0.538208 0.797560 1.176864
2025-10-05 0.075540 0.132744 0.219300 0.355554 0.559377 0.846690 1.274363
2025-10-12 0.070955 0.129052 0.219330 0.364755 0.586774 0.905318 1.387066
2025-10-19 0.065579 0.123484 0.215899 0.368216 0.605489 0.951882 1.483938
2025-10-26 0.061156 0.119274 0.214560 0.375247 0.630618 1.009878 1.601363
2025-11-02 0.057812 0.116581 0.215415 0.385707 0.661433 1.077482 1.735527
2025-11-09 0.052508 0.109830 0.208937 0.383715 0.672427 1.115525 1.826901
2025-11-16 0.048018 0.104078 0.203634 0.383164 0.685441 1.156883 1.924509
2025-11-23 0.043902 0.098577 0.198270 0.382016 0.697190 1.196452 2.020485
2025-11-30 0.041431 0.096011 0.197897 0.389338 0.723107 1.259057 2.154148
2025-12-07 0.038216 0.091594 0.193750 0.389642 0.737054 1.302877 2.259524
2025-12-14 0.035325 0.087523 0.189892 0.390118 0.751138 1.347210 2.366933
2025-12-21 0.032721 0.083770 0.186314 0.390788 0.765428 1.392187 2.476608
2025-12-28 0.030874 0.081471 0.185371 0.396232 0.788242 1.451925 2.612001
2026-01-04 0.029654 0.080449 0.186871 0.406328 0.819712 1.527113 2.774947